The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 5.25–5.50%. Its updated projections show just one 25 basis point cut in 2024—down from three forecast in December. Chair Powell pointed to stubborn inflation and resilient labor market data as key reasons for restraint.
The decision lifted the U.S. Dollar Index by 0.6% and sent the S&P 500 down 1.2%. The 2-year Treasury yield jumped 12 basis points to 4.87%, signaling markets now expect a higher terminal rate.